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Asian Handicap Betting Explained

Asian Handicap Betting Explained

Asian Handicap Betting Explained: Part One: The 0 Goal Line

Whilst compiling my analysis each weekend. I always based my selections around the handicap line. Over the period of the last few months I have received a number of emails from people that do not understand how Asian Handicaps work so I thought I would do a few pieces explain what each line means and how you are best using that particular line.

In this piece we are going to take a look at the 0 goal handicap and hopefully this should provide readers with a little more clarity into how these markets work.

When looking at an Asian Handicap, unlike the traditional match lines where you back either the Home side, the Away side or the draw. Here you can only back one side or the other.

0 Goal Handicap (Off Scratch)

Firstly we shall look at the 0 goal handicap line which is also sometimes referred to as ‘off scratch’

This handicap is used when both sides are very close in the betting and effectively the score at the start of the game is Home 0 / Away 0

So in the following example Stoke City are playing at home to Everton. You have had a look at the stats and analysis and everything indicates that Stoke look to be a good bet and although you think they represent decent value you also would like to keep the draw on your side

So here we could have Stoke City v Everton where the handicap prices are as follows

Stoke City 0 @ 1.90 and Everton 0 goals @ 2.00

You believe that this offers value so you place £20 on Everton 0 goals.

From here you have 3 scenarios

  1. Stoke City win. Here were Stoke to win you would win £19 and also have your £20 stake returned.
  2. The game ends a Draw. In this case your stake is returned
  3. Everton win. Here were Everton to win the game you would lose your £20 stake

Stoke do indeed go onto win the game 2-0 and you have profited by £19

Adjust your staking to the scenario

One of the advantages of betting on the Asian Handicap is that in some scenarios you can be bolder in your staking. For example in the above game in the traditional Home, Draw, Away lines (1×2) Stoke are priced at around 2.60 and here you have decided that due to Stokes very strong home record when facing mid table sides that you certainly do not believe Everton will win the game but you are very concerned about the draw and so here you place your normal £10 stake on Stoke and profit by £16

On the other hand by staking on the Asian Handicap you have the draw covered and you decide to be bolder by doubling your stake to £20 knowing that you have the draw on your side and in this case you would have profited by £19.

Using the same staking and if the game had ended a draw you would have lost your £10 in the first scenario but would have come out with no loss in the second.

However if Everton had won the game you would also have not only lost the £10 in the first scenario but would have also lost £20 in the second. So you should certainly think carefully on which games you may look to employ this strategy. By carefully profiling games you will soon become aware which games you can be bolder on.

Advantages of Betting Asian Handicap v Traditional High Street Bookmaker

Now some of you will recognise this as being the same as the popular high street bookmakers Draw No Bet and indeed it is. However when betting on the Asian Handicap there are generally 2 advantages.

  1. The odds you receive are generally better as the Asian firms are working to much smaller margins than the traditional bookmakers and
  2. Should you wish to you can place far more money down with an Asian Handicap bookmaker than you can with the high street bookmakers who tend to restrict how much a player can bet.

I hope this explains this particular market for you and I shall be covering further markets in detail further down the line

Asian Handicap Betting Explained: Part Two: The -0.25 Goal Line

Here in my series looking at how the Asian Handicaps work I am going to explain the Minus Quarter Ball handicap and you may have seen this written up as either – 0.25 or -0/0.5 goals.

Now for many people this can seem confusing, however over the next few paragraphs I hope to simplify things and also give you some advice on when best to use this handicap line.

Firstly let’s take a look at a Premier League game between Swansea and Stoke.

Here the bookmakers have the game priced up as follows

  • Swansea 2.30
  • Draw 3.38
  • Stoke 3.45

Now you have done your homework and analysis and you fancy Swansea to win. However you do have a certain doubt in your mind that although Stoke’s away record is poor, they could very easily snatch a draw here.

The -0.25 Handicap

This is where the Quarter ball handicap is useful and here on the Asian Handicap the bookmakers have the game priced up as follows

  • Swansea -0.25 @ 1.98
  • Stoke +0.25 @ 1.96

Now you decide to place £20 on Swansea on the -0.25 goal handicap and this is how your bet is staked.

As previously mentioned the -0.25 can also be displayed as -0/0.5 and this is probably more accurate as you are in effect placing TWO bets.

£10 of your £20 bet is placed on Swansea 0 goals at 1.98 and £10 of your £20 bet is placed on Swansea -0.5 goals at 1.98.

So let’s look at both of the scenarios for this bet

BET 1: Placing £10 on Swansea 0 goal handicap @ 1.98

  • If Swansea win you win £9.80 with £10 being returned so your return = £19.80
  • If Swansea Draw you win or lose £0.00 and your £10 stake is returned = £10.00
  • If Swansea lose then you lose your £10 stake = – £10.00

Placing £10 on Swansea -0.5 goals. We have not covered the -0.5 goal handicap yet but basically this means that Swansea are starting the game minus half a goal, and in order for your bet to win Swansea must win the game.

BET 2: Placing £10 on Swansea -0.5 goal handicap @ 1.98

  • If Swansea win you win £9.80 with £10 being returned so your return = £19.80
  • If Swansea draw then you lose your £10 stake = – £10.00
  • If Swansea lose then you lose your £10 stake = – £10.00

 Returns

So to get your return on your £20 bet you simply add up the returns of each of the 3 scenarios which is as follows

  • Swansea win you win £9.80 on the 0 goal handicap and £9.80 on the -0.5 goal handicap returning £19.60 + your £20 Stake = £39.60
  • Swansea Draw you lose £0.00 on the 0 goal handicap and -£10.00 on the -0.5 goal handicap returning a loss of – £10.00
  • Swansea lose you lose -£10.00 on the 0 goal handicap and -£10.00 on the -0.5 goal handicap returning a loss of -£20.00

So as you can see from the above, the major difference here to placing a straight bet on Swansea is that by backing them on the -0.25 goal handicap you are only losing half of your stake should the game end a draw.

Again this can be very useful because in the above scenario you may decide that Stoke really do have a poor away record, and although they may draw the game you just cannot see Stoke winning.

In the above scenario you could then decide to be bolder with your staking which could offer some decent risk v reward.

For example in the normal match odds Swansea are priced at 2.30 and you place your normal £10 stake on them to win this then gives 3 outcomes

  • Swansea win you win £13.00 plus your £10.00 stake returned = £23.00
  • Swansea draw you lose your £10.00
  • Swansea lose you lose your £10.00

Now you could be convinced that Swansea will not lose and so you double your stake and place £20 on Swansea -0.25 (-0/0.5) goals at 1.98. This then gives the following outcomes

  • Swansea win you win £19.60 plus your £20.00 stake returned = £39.60
  • Swansea draw you lose half of your £20 stake = -£10.00
  • Swansea lose you lose your full £20.00 stake

Summary

So as you can see from the above example by doubling your stake on the handicap you have profited by £6.60 more and if the game ends a draw then you only lose as much as if you had backed Swansea to win by £10 in the first place.

Now obviously there is the chance that Stoke can win this game which would lead to a £20 loss instead of £10 but here providing you profile your matches and do due diligence the risk v reward by keeping an element of the draw on your side can be worthwhile long term.

Asian Handicap Betting Explained: Part Three: The -0.75 Goal Line

In the next in the series of how the Asian Handicaps work I am going to look at the Minus Three Quarter Ball handicap and you will have seen this written up as either -0.75 or -0.5/1 goals.

Of all the handicaps this is the one that is most confusing to the average punter and in truth when I see this line I am very cautious as to whether or not I play it or just bet on the straight victory.

But first let us look at how the bet works and as an example we will take a look at a Premier League game between Everton & Burnley.

Here the bookmakers have the game priced up as follows:

  • Everton 1.85
  • Draw 3.61
  • Burnley 4.87

Here you have again looked at the form and you have seen that in Burnley’s last 15 away games they have lost 9 matches and when looking at Everton’s last 15 home games to Grade D sides again they have won 9 of these matches and so you conclude that Everton are a decent bet to win this game

The -0.75 Handicap

Here the bookmakers have the game priced up as follows

  • Everton -0.75 @ 2.15
  • Burnley +0.75 @ 1.81

Now you decide to place £20 on Everton on the -0.75 goal handicap and this is how your bet is staked.

As previously mentioned the -0.75 can also be displayed as -0.5/1 goals and this is probably more accurate and as with the -0.25 bet here you are again placing TWO bets.

£10 of your £20 bet is placed on Everton -0.5 goals at 2.15 and £10 of your £20 bet is placed on Everton -1 goal at 2.15.

So let’s look at both of the scenarios for this bet

Placing £10 on Everton -0.5 goals. We have not covered the -0.5 goal handicap yet but basically this means that Everton are starting the game minus half a goal, and in order for your bet to win Everton must win the game.

BET 1: Placing £10 on Everton -0.5 goals @ 2.15

  • If Everton win you win £11.15 with £10 being returned so your return = £21.50
  • If Everton Draw you then lose your £10 stake = – £10.00
  • If Everton Lose then you lose your £10 stake = – £10.00

Placing £10 on Everton -1 goal. Again we have not covered the -1 goal handicap yet but basically this means that Everton are starting the game minus one goal, and in order for your bet to win Everton must win the game by 2 or more goals.

BET 2: Placing £10 on Everton -1 goal @ 2.15

  • If Everton win by 2 or more goals you win £11.15 with £10 being returned so your return = £21.50
  • If Everton win by 1 goal draw then you win / lose £0.00 and your stake is returned = £10.00
  • If Everton Draw then you lose your £10 stake = -£10.00
  • If Everton Lose then you lose your £10 stake = -£10.00

 Returns

So to get your return on your £20 bet you simply add up the returns of each of the 4 scenarios which is as follows

  • Everton win by 2 goals or more you win £11.15 on the -0.5 goal handicap and £11.15 on the -1 goal handicap returning £23.00 + your £20 Stake = £43.00
  • Everton win by 1 goal you win £11.15 on the -0.5 goal handicap and win / lose £0.00 on the -1 goal handicap returning £11.15 + your £20 stake = £31.50
  • Everton Draw you lose -£10.00 on the -0.5 goal handicap and -£10.00 on the -1 goal handicap returning a loss of -£20.00
  • Everton lose you lose -£10.00 on the -0.5 goal handicap and -£10.00 on the -1 goal handicap returning a loss of -£20.00

So as you can see from the above the major difference here to placing a straight bet on Everton to win is that if Everton only win by 1 goal then you only receive half of your odds which in this case is the equivalent of backing a winner at 1.57 as opposed to the starting price of 1.85

When looking at the Stats of this game although Everton have won 9 of their last 15 hosting Grade D sides. Only 6 of these 9 victories were by 2 or more goals. Indeed when we look at Everton’s home form against ALL opposition they have only won 3 of 15 by 2 or more goals. When looking at Burnley’s away form then 7 of their 9 defeats in their last 15 away games were lost by 2 or more goals.

Summary

When taking on the -0.75 (-0.5/1) goal handicap I am always a little cautious. As for your bet to win in full your selection has to win by 2 or more goals. To win by 2 or more goals is quite a difficult task in any of the Major Leagues particularly the Premiership and many times it is better just backing the straight win as the risk v reward is simply not worthwhile on the handicap.

You also find this handicap is common when the elite sides visit mid to lower table sides. Again you should do your homework as again many times you can be better just backing the straight win.

Finally I am always a little suspicious when a perceived far better side is quoted on the leading line -0.75 (-0.5/1) as opposed to a -1 goal handicap and this always gets me wondering if the odds makers are leaving a trap for the uninitiated. As if something looks too good to be true there is normally a reason not to take the bet.

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