Best betting strategy for football betting

how football betting predictions work

Football betting is the most popular form of sports betting. It is therefore no wonder that most of the expert tips, advice and insider forums circulate in this area. Ultimately, all portals are about the all-important question: what is the best betting strategy for football betting?

In this article we would like to get to the bottom of this explosive topic and introduce and explain to you our best betting strategies for football betting. In the following you will also find out what particularly safe bets are and which basic rules should be observed in order to achieve long-term success with sports betting.

The top 3 for betting in football

For football betting, every bookmaker usually offers a particularly extensive range of different types of betting and betting markets, since there is also the greatest demand. At the same time, this allows enormous scope for the development of various betting systems, which should guide the tipster even more safely to their destination. There are now hundreds of such systems, but not all of them have been successful.

We selected the three best bets in football based on our betting experience and described them in more detail below. However, we would also like to point out that there is never 100% certainty in football betting, which means that there is always a residual risk of loss.

Draw bets

This fairly common type of bet is about betting on a tie at the end of the game. This bet is extremely popular with both beginners and advanced sports bettors. Speculating for a so-called draw, also known as “Tip X” , is always associated with high odds of over 3.0 and, accordingly, considerable winnings.

It should be noted that it is generally more and more likely that one of the two opponents will decide the game for themselves, which however puts the higher odds of a tie into perspective. After all, about 34 percent of all football matches end in a tie, which definitely means good chances can be calculated. Thorough preliminary research and the right smell often pay off here.

In our experience, we recommend the “Consistent X typing” strategy . In this context, all previously researched games are bet with the same stake for a draw – consistently every day (if suitable games are available). The average 34% in combination with the high betting odds can mean long-term profits , which is probably the reason why many experts swear by this approach.

Asian handicaps

The Asian Handicap Bet is a modification of the classic handicap bet that is common in Europe. Due to its enormous flexibility, this is even better suited for successful betting, which is why we rank this bet type among the top three.

Overall, the Asian handicap is very similar to the standard: the bet is used to raise teams of different strengths to a balanced level of performance. The amount of the handicap selected is added to the real score at the end of the game. The team that won, including the fictitious handicap, is also considered the winner in this case. The Asian handicap not only enables full, but also half, quarter and three-quarter goals.

This reduces the possible outcomes from three (win team 1, tie, win team 2) to two – there is no tie. In the case of quarter, half or three-quarter goals, a tie is obviously not possible, since of course only whole goals can be scored. If you choose the Asian handicap with full goals (e.g. 0, 1 or 2) and the game ends in a draw, the sports bettor gets back his bet – an additional protection that is not available with a normal handicap.

Does everything still sound very complicated? Below we list a few examples with understandable explanations.

The following examples illustrate how Asian handicaps work with whole and half goals:

FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund

tipAsian handicapExplanation
Win FC Schalke 04+1If the game ends in a draw or Schalke wins, the tip “win Schalke +1” is correct, because another goal is added to both the draw and the win. The tip “victory Dortmund -1” would be correct if Dortmund wins with at least 2 goals difference. If there was a goal difference (for example final score 1: 2), the stake would be returned because it would be 1: 1 minus the “-1”.
Win Borussia Dortmund-1

Example 2:

FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund

tipAsian handicapExplanation
Win FC Schalke 040Since both teams are neither deducted nor credited with a value in this case, the actual game result is the same as the result with Asian Handicap – If Schalke wins, “Sieg Schalke 0” is correct, Dortmund wins, the tip “Sieg Dortmund 0” also wins. The amount wagered will only be refunded in the event of a tie.
Win Borussia Dortmund0

The Asian handicap bet with a quarter goal combines two handicap options in one bet. The prerequisite for this is that these options only have a goal difference of 0.5, for example 0 and 0.5. In this case, the customer’s commitment is split equally between the two variants, i.e. 50:50. The most common spelling is then not 0 and 0.5, but 0.25 or 0.75 in the case of 0.5 and 1.

If a user now bets, for example, with 100 euros on a team with a handicap of 0.25, they will be divided into 50 euros at handicap 0 and 50 euros at handicap 0.5. If the team wins with a goal difference, for example, then both handicap bets will go up and the customer will be happy about the full win. However, if the game ends in a tie, only the handicap wins with 0.5 – here the 50 euros are now multiplied by the corresponding betting odds. The handicap with 0 brings back the other 50 Euro bet, because it is a draw. This simply doubles the chances of winning and at the same time reduces the risk of loss.

Over / under betting on goals

The over / under bet in football is most often used in connection with goals. The default value is 2.5. The odds are fairly balanced in this case because the likelihood that more than 2.5 goals will be scored in a football game is about as high as that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals. In addition to the standard value, there are also a few special bets that allow you to bet on a different number of goals. Depending on the game, for example, the values ​​1.5, 3.5 and 4.5 are also offered.

This allows sports bettors to place their tip very precisely. For example, if you want to be on the safe side, choose the “Over 1.5 goals” bet – the probability that at least two goals will be scored during a game is quite high, but the betting rate is accordingly low. The “Under 5.5 Goals” bet would bring security in the other direction – it is usually very unlikely that more than five goals will be scored in one game.

On the other hand, if you want to get higher odds and are certain based on statistics, shape curves or your own knowledge of your case, use the bet “Over 3.5 goals” – it is quite possible that at least four goals will fall, the probability of this Mostly classified by bookmakers as rather low, which is rewarded with high betting odds.

In addition to the tip on the entire game, users usually have the option of applying the over / under bet to half time. The betting sites then guarantee, for example, the tips “Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half” or “Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half”. Professionals who know about the half-time form of many teams can take advantage of this offer.

The great advantage of over / under on goals:

Unlike normal single bets, where either Team 1 can win, the game ends in a draw or Team 2 wins, there are only two ways to win with Over / Under: Over or Under. In addition, it doesn’t matter exactly how the game turns out and who emerges as the winner. In the case of over / under betting on goals, it is only relevant how many goals have been scored in the game. When, how or by whom it was achieved doesn’t matter. This makes it easier for sports bettors to estimate the outcome of the game. They are happy to rely on statistics, shape tables or their own specialist knowledge. For example, if two offensive teams meet, the chances are high that more than two goals will be scored in the game.

Basic rules for successful betting

In addition to the right betting strategy, there are some basic rules for successful betting that every sports bettor should have internalized. This is the only way to write long-term positive numbers.

Acquire expertise

If you want to be successful with football betting, you should definitely acquire a certain amount of specialist knowledge from time to time. It is essential to be able to understand the course of the game and its rules. But background knowledge should not be underestimated either. Current form strengths of individual teams, the filling of the squad or a look at past games can make a significant contribution to success. There are countless ways to get relevant information. Form tables, team histories or sports news are suitable media here. Often the bookmakers themselves offer some information about the games available.

Don’t play with greed

Bet with discipline and a clear head from the start. As soon as a certain greed creeps in, which can also occur with any other gambling activity, you should pull the emergency brake as soon as possible and change your betting behavior. The most important thing is that you do not compulsively try to raise certain amounts that you might need privately at the moment. This often ends in a downward spiral in which you lose more than you win.

To secure

Don’t just consider maximum wins with utopian odds. You can often secure football matches live with a clever tip, which will reduce your potential winnings, but you will definitely not suffer a loss. If, for example, you placed a double chance bet 1X before a game, you can give the remaining time 2 tip in the course of the game (should team 2 be stronger than originally expected) in order to secure this course of the game as well.

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