Over/Unders in Rugby

Rugby League vs Rugby Union

Understanding Over/Unders in Rugby

In over/under betting you are guessing what the combined score of both sides will be. A rugby gambling site predicts what the total score of both teams will be and then you have to bet whether that score will be over or under the predicted set point. If the total score is lower than the posted set point, then ‘under’ wins. If it is higher than that set point, then ‘over’ wins. For example, if the final score between two teams is 20-17, the total is 37, so you are betting if the posted set point will be over or under 37 points.

Calculating Over/Undes

Let us say New Zealand is playing Tonga in the Internationals match in Rugby League. New Zealand is a top favorite in this match, being a top competitor in the league, while Tonga is a big underdog, having much weaker teams historically. The odds could look like this:

  • 67.5
  • Over (-1.10)
  • Under (+1.10)

Here you are wagering if the total score will be higher or lower than 67 points. If you want to bet £100 that the score will be over 67.5 points, then you can win £90 in addition to the original £100 bet. If you are betting £100 that the score will be less than 67.5 points, then you can also win £90 in addition to the original bet. Notice that unlike in money lines, the odds can be the same in rugby over/under betting. This is because in money lines the odds are different to provide an incentive to bet on underdogs, while in over/under betting you are not betting on particular teams but just on their total scores.

A “Push”

A “push” happens when sportsbooks do not add the 0.5 to their total over/under score and the total score ends up being exactly the same as the over/under prediction. In the above example, if a sportsbook were not to use the 0.5 in its prediction, and the total score ended up being exactly 67 points, then nobody would win. The score would neither be above or under 67 points, but rather be exactly that mount. In a case like this, a “push” would happen – when nobody wins and a sportsbook has to return the bets/money to the punters. Hence, sportsbooks will add the 0.5 so this way you are betting that the score will be either over or under 67 points.

Tips to Help You Win

Historic Performance of Both Sides
One of the most important things you should consider when deciding what the total score is going to be between two teams is how they played against each other in previous match-ups. If they played before, what were their total scores? For example, if a sportsbook is predicting 47 points between New Zealand and England in Internationals League match, and you know that in their last five games their total score in the last 5 matches was around 37 points, then you should bet on the ‘under’.

You should also know what strategies the teams adopt against each other historically. For example, you know that both sides are huge rivals and get very aggressive against each other. The more aggressive they are, the more they will try to score, which can increase a total score between the teams. Likewise, if the teams are wary of each other or have similar defensive strategies, then the total score might reflect that and not be as high. All is very dependent as you can see so far.

Weather Conditions
Another rugby over/under betting tip is to consider weather conditions when making your wagers. Strong wind, snow and/or rain can make it harder for offensive players to run and score tries. In addition, both teams might get tired faster playing in bad weather conditions. This is mostly the case when both sides are more equal with each other in strength and come from similar type of climate conditions. It might not be the same case when one team is much stronger than the other, with its players having more stamina and being from areas where bad weather is more prevalent.

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